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1、湖南大學(xué)碩士學(xué)位論文SinoLatinAmericantradeover1990to2001:AGravityModelapproach姓名:QuilachaminC.WilsonM.申請(qǐng)學(xué)位級(jí)別:碩士專(zhuān)業(yè):InternationalTrade&Economics指導(dǎo)教師:MingyongLai20040401璽2:三=塵塵壘墨!皇!竺型:2鯊:!!:!12:!!!j壘星:型墜翌2111呈墼:呈蘭墜——ABSTRACTSinceMode
2、mChinabeganwhenacommunistmovementcapturedthecontrolofthecountryinl949deepstructuraltransformationshavebeenoccurringChina’SeeonomicalchangesandachievementshavecomeslowlyandacceleratingaftertimeBy1994,China’Stotaltradeofgo
3、odsexceeded$280billion,becomingthetenth1argestexportedlaggingbehinddevelopedcountriesonlyMoreoverChina’SaccessiontotheTradeWorldOrganization(WTO)enhancedcompetitivenessofChinesegoodsInspiteofChina’Salreadyinfluentialperf
4、ormanceintheworldeconomyobserverspredictasteadilygrowthofChina,Whichmightalignitwithdevelopedcountriesintheearly2IstcenturyInthiscontextLatinAmericaandtheCaribbeanmAClaretoenfoiceanddeepentradewithChinaThisPaperaddresses
5、twoissues:a)Toexaminetherelevancyofseveralfactors:countryeconomicalsize,primaryandsecondarysectorsofproductionandcorruptionaftercontrollingfordistanceandlanguageculturalties,inexplainingtradeflowsbetweentheChinaandLACreg
6、ionsintheyears19902001b、ToanalyzetheeffectsofthelargestLatinAmericanFreeTradeAgreements(FTAs)onintraregionaiandinternationaltradeintheyears1980tO2001ForthispurposeIusethewell—knOWgravitymodelResearchingasetofdataobtained
7、fromthe‘‘TheStatisticalYearbookforLatinAmericaandtheCaribbean”and“ChinaStatisticalYearbook”,severalissuesforbothIfindstatisticallysignificantevidencethatGDPgrowthiSassociatedwithtradeincreaseAsperincome,itaccountednegati
8、velyforLatinAmericantradeCorruptioneffectsmeasuredasTI(CPI)index,hasnegativelyaffectedtradeinanequivalentof75%ofthelanguageeffectsonSino—LACtradeover1990—2001Disaggregatinghomebiasintohomecountryspecifichomebias,Ifindtha
9、tChina’SeconomicalandtradingpresencehasbeenconsolidatinginLACFinaIlyIfindstatisticalevidencethatACMERCOSURandLAIAagreementsplayedanimportantroleinintra—LAC—tradeThepaperisorganizedasfollows:ChapterI,definesthescopeofther
10、esearchandmakessomepreliminaryconsiderationsaboutLACChapterIIcontainsanoverviewofthegravitymodelChapterIIIaddressesthemethodologyanddataconsiderationsChapterIV:examinestheresultsandcontainsthesensitivityanalysiswithfoCUS
11、OnpossibleheteroscedasticityproblemsChapterVconcludesanddesignstheimplicationsAppendixA:ContainsthereferencesandbibliographyAppendixB:DetailofthedatasourcesAppendixc=enclosesthetablesandfiguresoftheresults,andAppendixD:s
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