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1、蘭州理工大學碩士學位論文系統(tǒng)模糊可靠性研究姓名:李冬娜申請學位級別:碩士專業(yè):運籌學與控制論指導教師:張民悅20080428AbstractFuzzinessinpracticalen舀neeringwidespread,andwhenthesamplesizeissmalleffuzzinessinthereliabilityaIlalVsisplaVadecisiveroleFuzzVreliabilitVanalVsismetho

2、dbasedontherealitythatmodemengineeringsystemsaLrebecomingincreasinglycomplicatedpartsofthesystemandthelevelofstatearercquiredmofedetaileddescription,andpeoplehaVeincreasinglyhighdemandsforthereliability0fthesystem,conven

3、tionalbinaTyreliablestateDesigntheoryhasnotbeabletOmeetthepracticalrequirementsFuzzyreliabilitVmodelconcentratesef!fbrts0nsimulatingsVsteminthesecircumstaIlccsandprovideamOrerealisticinterpretatiOn0fthesVstemTherefore,b弱

4、edonthetheoryoffuzzysetsreliabilitv,aIlalVsis,assessment’allocation,forecastingmethodshaveeme唱edEspeciallyiIItheea訂yreliability0fcomplexsVstemsdesignand鋤alysis,humancomputerresearchinthefield0fcomprehensiVereliability,柚d

5、s00n,fIlzzy卸alysismethodhasastfongapplicabilityFuzzVmathematicalmethodessentiallVimprovedthereliabilitVofthetraditionalmethod0flimitatiOnsandinadequacies,砌1disananalVsismethodbein2mOreinlinewithmenatureOfdevelopment0fthi

6、ngsFuzzyreliabilitVOfthecmxOftheproblemishOwt0buildGMfcliability0fthemOdel鋤dtofinde虢ctiveaIgOrithmfortheevaluatiOnofsVstemperfbmanceTheresultsareexpectedtobeextensivelVappliediIltheen舀neeringsystemsimulationanddesignThis

7、analysismethodisof伊eattlleoreticalaIldhaswideapDlicatiOnsinthenItureThispaperstudiestllecontentOfreliabilitytheoryfIlzzymath,the砌domprocessmeoⅨalldmechallicaIengiIIeeringprojectofthecrosscuttingareaSItusereIiabilitytheor

8、yandfuzzVreliabilitVtlleoryto觚alVsethefeliabilityofthelar日eandC0mplexsysteminordert0establishthesVstemmodelforsometypicalsVstemofreliabilitVandindicatOrs0ftheIeliabilitvoftheanalvsisandcalculationmethodsOnthebasisofprevi

9、ousstudiesinnIzzVreliabilitytheOry’wemakeamorein—depthstudyinthefollowingaspects:(1)Fuzzvreliabilitymodel鋤ditsapplicationOnthebasisoftheclassicaltheorv0freliability,weintroducemerelev卸tfuzzVsettheory’establishfuzzyreliab

10、ilitVmodelOfreliabilitybasicmodel0fthesystem,such嬲serial,parallel,thevotingsVstem,andmaketherelationshipbetweenmodulesofthesvstem姐dthereliabilitvOfthefnzzy,fuzzyfailurerate,fhzzyaveragelifeeXpect柚cy,卸d0therjlldicatOrS鋤dt

11、hemathematiCalexpression(2)Systemfuzzyreliabilitvoptimizationallocationmodel柚ditsalgorithmWeaIlalysetheresearchmethodsofthemechanicalfuzzVreliabilitVofthedesi霉皿t0optimizethereliabilitvoftheobiectivefunctionandconslraints

12、,anddiscusstheprincipleilldetailinfhzzya190rithm0ptimizationproccssofthefuzzyreliabilitych鋤酉ngintotheconventiomla190ritlllllAtthes鋤etime,westatetheoptimaldesi印0fthethreeb硒icconceptsOfunderstallding觚dme觚ingFinally’sumupth

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