經(jīng)濟預警方法研究及房地產(chǎn)預警信號系統(tǒng)的設計.pdf

1、天津大學碩士學位論文經(jīng)濟預警方法研究及房地產(chǎn)預警信號系統(tǒng)的設計姓名：賈永飛申請學位級別：碩士專業(yè)：管理科學與工程指導教師：趙黎明2000.1.1AbstractThedevelopmenthistoryoftheworldeconomyandtheChineseeconomyshowsthattheintensefluctuationoftheeconomybetrayswiththecountry’Smacroadministrati

2、ongoals，followingthehighinflationoftheeconomytheremustbetheeconomicconflation，andeveryintensefluctuationprocesstosomeextentdestroytheeconomyandwastethesocialresourcesinalargescaleTherefore，inordertoavoidthissituation，mon

3、itortheeconomicfluctuation，evaluatethepresentfluctuation，andpredictthefutureeconomicfluctuationtrendsandsentoutthewarningmethod，everycountryallovertheworldstudiestheeconomicearlywarningsystemandappliesittotheeconomicadmi

4、nistrationSOthattheeconomydevelopsinastableandhealthy、VayThisessayprobesintothemaineconomicearlywarningtheories，comparesthedifferentearlywamingsystemsandmethodsTheauthorsystematicallyanalyzestheearlywarningsignalsysteman

5、doptimizeseachprocessSOthattheearlywarningsignalsystemCancombinetheadvantagesoftheotherearlywarningmethodsWiththeuseoffussycomprehensiveevaluationmethods，theearlywarningintervalscallbedeterminedTheauthorpresentsthecomput

6、ationmethodsofearlywarningindexanditsanalysisprinciplesSOthesignalsystemisimprovedWiththeuseoftheoptimizedearlywarningsystemdesigningmethods，theauthordesignstherealestateearlywarningsysteminourcountryTheauthorchoosesthes

7、alesrationasthewarningconditionindexandselectsthewarningindexwiththeuseofquantitativeandqualitativemethodAccordingtothecharacteristicsoftherealestate，theauthorusesthefussycomprehensiveevaluationmethodstodeterminethewarni

8、ngintervals，computestherealestateearlywamingindexTherefore，thesystemCanmuchmorecorrectlyresponsethedevelopmentoftherealestateandmonitorandpredictstherealestate，whichmakestherealestatedevelophealthilyKeyWords：EconomicEarl