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1、外文翻譯RecentInitiativetoImprovetheRegulationSupervisionofPrivateFlowsMaterialSource:BISWkingPapersAuth:WilliamRWhiteChangingattitudestointernationalcapitalflowsBefeturningtohowofficialattitudestoprivatecapitalflowshavechan
2、gedovertimeitisusefuljusttolookatthefactsPritoWldWarIcapitalflowswereproptionallyaslargeastodayalthoughthecomplexityvolumeoftheinteractions(gross)wasthenmuchless.Mostoftheflowsintheearlierperiodwereinthefmoflongtermbonds
3、withgovernmentsrailwaysminingothercommodityextractionenterprisesbeingtheprimarybeneficiaries.Sinceinlargepartgovernmentswerebuildinginfrastructureatthetimeitcouldbecontendedthatmostoftheseloanswereinsomewaylinkedtoexptst
4、hemeanstoservicedebt.Neverthelessthereweremanycrisesevenifcrisespost1972havebeenbothmefrequentmesevere.Followingontheeventsofthe1930stherewasacollapseininternationalcapitalflows(aswellastrade)onlyaverygradualrecoveryafte
5、rWldWarII.Beginninginthe1960sconstantlyacceleratingsubsequentlytherehasbeenasharprevivalofinternationalcapitalflowsalthoughtheircompositionnowdiffersmarkedlyfromthatseenpritoWldWarI.Astomaturityloanstendtobeofrathershter
6、duration.Meovertherelianceonbondfinancingislesstodaywithbothpurchasesofequityfeigndirectinvestmentplayingamuchmeimptantrole.Bdo(2000)ribesthischangeinlargeparttomoderncommunicationswhichallowmedirectoversightthereferaise
7、thecomftzoneinsofarasrisktaking(atadistance)isconcerned.Recurrentfeignexchangebankingcriseshavebeenexperiencedinemergingmarketsoverthelasttwodecadeswithnewconcernsaboutmaturitymismatches(asinKeain1997)addingtotraditional
8、creditmarketriskascatalystsfcrises.Officialattitudestointernationalcapitalflowshavealsochangedgreatlyovertheyears.Howeverwhathasnotchangedistheunderlyingrealityofthesocalled“impossibletrinity”.Acountrycannothaveunhampere
9、dinternationalcapitalflowsafixedexchangeratesystemitsownindependentmoarypolicyallattheauthitymustalwayshavesomeviewsastotheimplicationsofexchangeratemovements.Meovernofixisirrevocablesincethedomesticpainimpliedbycurrency
10、boardarrangementsmayproveunbearable.Indeedevencurrencyunions(variantson“dollarisation”)canbeabrogated.Itmustofcoursebereadilyadmittedthatinternationalcapitalflowsalsohavesignificantdownsides.Theycanexacerbatedomesticexce
11、ssesineffectallowingpostponementofneededpoliciestherebydemingstilllargerpolicyadjustmentslater.Meoverthesuddennessofthereversaloftheseflowsmaymakeitallbutimpossibletoavoidthepolicyadjustmentbecomingdisderly.International
12、lyintegratedfinancialmarketsalsomeanthatfinancialmarketsinemergingmarketcountriesarevulnerabletointerestrateincreasesinindustrialcountries.Aswellthereisgrowingevidencethatequitymarketsindevelopingcountriesaremecrelatedwi
13、ththoseofindustrialcountriesthanwouldseemconsistentwiththeunderlyingfundamentals.WhiletheadoptionoffloatingexchangerateregimessignificantlymitigatesthesedangersitbynomeanswhollyeliminatesThem.Inthelightoftheseinsightsrec
14、entpolicyinitiativestoregulatesuperviseprivatecapitalflowshavefocusedonmeanstocurbpossible“excesses”whileessentiallymaintainingmovingcarefullytowardsaregimeoffreecapitalflows.Whileawholehostofbodieshavebeeninvolvedinfmul
15、atingsuchrecommendationsoverthelastfewyearsparticularemphasiswillbeplacedhereonevaluatingrecommendationsmaderecentlyinvariouspaperspublishedbytheFinancialStabilityFum.Inthevarioussectionsthatfollowfoursetsofsuchinitiativ
16、esareconsidered.Thefirstofthesehastodowithtransparency:theneedfbetterdatadisclosureindicatsofvulnerability.Thesecondthirdsetsofrecommendationshavetodowiththebehaviourofcreditsdebtsrespectively.Thefourthpartofthepaperdeal
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