突發(fā)性事件下電網(wǎng)項(xiàng)目運(yùn)行風(fēng)險(xiǎn)應(yīng)急能力評價(jià)研究建平.pdf

1、華北電力大學(xué)碩士學(xué)位論文突發(fā)性事件下電網(wǎng)項(xiàng)目運(yùn)行風(fēng)險(xiǎn)應(yīng)急能力評價(jià)研究建平姓名：王洪瑞申請學(xué)位級別：碩士專業(yè)：項(xiàng)目管理指導(dǎo)教師：趙建娜;邙學(xué)忠20100425華北電力大學(xué)工程碩士學(xué)位論文摘要 摘 要 本文運(yùn)用系統(tǒng)理論、突變理論、層次分析法和模糊數(shù)學(xué)方法，以電網(wǎng)項(xiàng)目運(yùn)行風(fēng)險(xiǎn)為對象，對其突發(fā)事件的特征、機(jī)理及分類方法進(jìn)行分析；對應(yīng)急能力的內(nèi)涵、指標(biāo)體系及評價(jià)方法，進(jìn)行了全面深入的研究。用層次分析法確定評價(jià)指標(biāo)權(quán)重，用多級模糊綜合評價(jià)法建

2、立評價(jià)模型，并做出了具體的實(shí)例分析，根據(jù)評價(jià)結(jié)果做出診斷分析，指出電網(wǎng)項(xiàng)目運(yùn)行風(fēng)險(xiǎn)應(yīng)急工作的弱點(diǎn)。希望本研究能為電力行業(yè)相關(guān)部門在加強(qiáng)電網(wǎng)項(xiàng)目運(yùn)行風(fēng)險(xiǎn)應(yīng)急能力建設(shè)方面提供決策參考。 關(guān)鍵詞：突發(fā)事件，電網(wǎng)項(xiàng)目，運(yùn)行風(fēng)險(xiǎn)，應(yīng)急能力，評價(jià) 關(guān)鍵詞：突發(fā)事件，電網(wǎng)項(xiàng)目，運(yùn)行風(fēng)險(xiǎn)，應(yīng)急能力，評價(jià) ABSTRACT In this paper tries to employ system theory, AHP, catastrophe theo

3、ry and fuzzy math method to analyze the mechanism, characteristic and classification of major incidents of power grid project operation risk; The connotation of emergency capacity, index system and evaluation method are

4、comprehensively thoroughly studied; Applying AHP to calculate the weights of index, and multilayer fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method to establish the evaluation model and making a concrete example analysis; According

5、 to evaluation results to analyze, and point out the weakness of emergency management. Hoping this study can provide decision-making for construction of emergency management of power grid project operation risk. Wang H