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1、<p> 畢業(yè)設(shè)計(jì)(論文)外文資料翻譯</p><p> 附件1:外文資料翻譯譯文</p><p> 中國的自由貿(mào)易談判:經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué),安全和外交政策</p><p> 80年代后期以來,由鄧小平領(lǐng)導(dǎo)的改革開放來臨了,中國一直奉行出口導(dǎo)向型的貿(mào)易政策。這一直伴隨著國內(nèi)農(nóng)業(yè)和工業(yè)的重組,私有化和國際化的發(fā)展。但長期以來,中國一直積極與世界各地的合作伙伴進(jìn)行
2、全球貿(mào)易,并已進(jìn)入到眾多的貿(mào)易和經(jīng)濟(jì)協(xié)定中去。北京的領(lǐng)導(dǎo)人認(rèn)為進(jìn)入自由貿(mào)易協(xié)定(FTA)的時(shí)間相對較快,是與歐洲、北美、澳大利亞和新西蘭相比的,尤其與中國的亞洲鄰國,如韓國、泰國和新加坡相比。例如,在2003年當(dāng)馮慧蘭和Gooptu的36個(gè)亞洲國家完成或擬進(jìn)行的自由貿(mào)易協(xié)定名單,該名單包括12項(xiàng),涉及新加坡,十項(xiàng)涉及韓國和日本,再加上超過過半?yún)f(xié)定涉及泰國,香港,臺灣及東盟。然而,中國只有兩次出現(xiàn)在名單上。在那時(shí)三方會(huì)談沒有加上對中國雙邊
3、自由貿(mào)易協(xié)定協(xié)議,及其關(guān)于中國 - 東盟自由貿(mào)易區(qū)和東盟的議程。</p><p> 從那時(shí)起,中國已成為極有力追求自由貿(mào)易的國家。由2000年代中期,它與27個(gè)國家和地區(qū),與9個(gè)自由貿(mào)易區(qū)建立了更緊密的經(jīng)貿(mào)關(guān)系協(xié)定“(CEPA),國家數(shù)量已占中國現(xiàn)已簽署了自由貿(mào)易協(xié)定的五分之一。它是與海灣合作委員會(huì)六個(gè)成員國和由五名成員組成的在自由貿(mào)易協(xié)定談判非洲關(guān)稅的聯(lián)盟, 還包括澳大利亞。中國也正在調(diào)查與冰島自由貿(mào)易區(qū)的可
4、行性。北京還提出了自由貿(mào)易協(xié)定的成員與上海合作組織(SCO)、新加坡、甚至與印度的合作。此外,中國分析家正在尋找中國 - 日本和中國 - 韓國自由貿(mào)易協(xié)定以確定能否進(jìn)入中國 - 日本 - 韓國的可行性。</p><p> 本章追溯最近的事態(tài)發(fā)展,并說明選定的自由貿(mào)易區(qū)談判情況。此外,它回顧中國文化對中國領(lǐng)導(dǎo)人的利益和戰(zhàn)略方面的自由貿(mào)易協(xié)定的影響。最后,它采用了米雷婭·索利斯和堅(jiān)田沙織一套假說,本書的框
5、架分析了中國在參與與一般亞洲國家的自由貿(mào)易協(xié)定的動(dòng)機(jī),特別是關(guān)于跨區(qū)域自由貿(mào)易協(xié)定。本章的目的有三個(gè)方面:第一,總結(jié)對中國的自由貿(mào)易區(qū)的倡議;第二,以評估中國的動(dòng)機(jī);第三,探索索利斯的實(shí)用性和堅(jiān)田的概念框架對亞洲跨區(qū)域主義有關(guān)的工作分析。因?yàn)椴⒉环裾J(rèn)中國本身的獨(dú)特性,由此本文假定中國的自由貿(mào)易區(qū)政策與亞洲鄰國和其他主要經(jīng)濟(jì)體的貿(mào)易政策相比,可能存在的有益的條件。綜合中國的情況,索利斯和堅(jiān)田假設(shè),政府自由貿(mào)易協(xié)定談判的動(dòng)機(jī)的具體影響。中國
6、最近的興趣是自由貿(mào)易協(xié)定談判與虛擬經(jīng)濟(jì)杠桿的動(dòng)機(jī)似乎是否一致。此外,跨區(qū)域自由貿(mào)易協(xié)定,也對中國的安全與外交利益產(chǎn)生影響。為了加強(qiáng)該國的“綜合國力”,北京采取長期的戰(zhàn)略、經(jīng)濟(jì)舉措,如自由貿(mào)易協(xié)定談判,北京積極的政治態(tài)度和安全問題都得到了重視。 </p><p> 一個(gè)遲到的自由貿(mào)易協(xié)定。在解釋中國為什么入世時(shí)間相對較晚。有兩種可能性的解釋,作為由Elaine S.桂建議,第一種可能性是:中國
7、領(lǐng)導(dǎo)人認(rèn)為,參與全球和地區(qū)的貿(mào)易框架,可以為中國的利益服務(wù),比中國雙邊貿(mào)易要好。世界貿(mào)易組織(WTO)的成員以及領(lǐng)導(dǎo)的極力追求,其在亞太經(jīng)合組織中的作用給予這一假說支持。因此,國務(wù)院總理朱容基在2000年11月建議了在東盟建立的一個(gè)可能的自由貿(mào)易協(xié)定。中國觀察家吃驚,因?yàn)樗坪鯓?gòu)成了從中國以前的多邊貿(mào)易到自由貿(mào)易協(xié)定的必然。然而,從另一個(gè)角度這可以解釋為中國日益增長的興趣,協(xié)議促成亞洲區(qū)域貿(mào)易。作為中國分析師劉昌黎概括起來,“貿(mào)易的速度
8、自由化(根據(jù)WTO)取決于最慢的船,“中國是信號,它打算加入快一個(gè)潛在的區(qū)域化,據(jù)另一位分析師,中國領(lǐng)導(dǎo)人已經(jīng)體會(huì)到,“經(jīng)濟(jì)形式影響中國經(jīng)濟(jì)全球化的快速發(fā)展?!按送猓袊恼勁刑岢隽怂麄兊默F(xiàn)實(shí)認(rèn)識,即在多邊談判中的影響力有限。這是不僅在WTO的情況下,這也是在亞太經(jīng)合組織和亞歐會(huì)議(ASEM)的表現(xiàn),論壇涵蓋一些世界上最大的經(jīng)濟(jì)體,如美國,日本和歐盟。但是,亞太經(jīng)合組織沒有太大的進(jìn)展,9日的亞歐會(huì)議,作為一個(gè)非正式的羅格論壇,</
9、p><p> 這不僅是因?yàn)楸本┑臎Q策者在忙于調(diào)整決策。事實(shí)上,中國的自由貿(mào)易區(qū)談判的評論員抱怨說,雖然中國的企業(yè)和政府部門已作出的重大調(diào)整應(yīng)對中國在加入世貿(mào)組織的要求,中國領(lǐng)導(dǎo)人決定加快參與區(qū)域化。因此,貿(mào)易自由化的第一假設(shè)僅部分證實(shí)了由中國 - 東盟自由貿(mào)易區(qū)項(xiàng)目和中國在區(qū)域生態(tài)合作上的新興趣。在2000年展開,桂的第二個(gè)假說斷定,直到最近顯示,中國并不需要雙邊自由貿(mào)易協(xié)定,以實(shí)現(xiàn)其貿(mào)易目標(biāo)。這是因?yàn)槠湔勁锌梢允?/p>
10、用該國廣闊的市場吸引力,以爭取有利的貿(mào)易優(yōu)惠,而不提交正式的自由貿(mào)易協(xié)定。然而,許多中國的貿(mào)易伙伴開始架設(shè)微妙的新的障礙,或從事不包括中國優(yōu)惠貿(mào)易協(xié)定。由于中國的貿(mào)易范圍和數(shù)量的增加,中國所面臨的更多的關(guān)稅歧視,貿(mào)易和行政保護(hù)的技術(shù)壁壘,如反傾銷案件。世貿(mào)組織已被證明無效遏止這些關(guān)稅和非關(guān)稅貿(mào)易壁壘,使中國的政策制定者降級其對世貿(mào)組織的依賴,尤其是在2003年坎昆僵局會(huì)議。正是在這個(gè)時(shí)候,中國的貿(mào)易政策被認(rèn)為是有奉行自由貿(mào)易協(xié)定的可能性
11、的。因此,因這兩個(gè)假設(shè),發(fā)現(xiàn)中國的多邊框架和非正式的貿(mào)易優(yōu)惠更多有利于其發(fā)展,20世紀(jì)90年代正式自由貿(mào)易協(xié)定不再適用于在新的世紀(jì)發(fā)展。他們沒有預(yù)料到中國的</p><p> 在自由貿(mào)易協(xié)定中關(guān)于中國的利益調(diào)查顯示,學(xué)術(shù)文獻(xiàn)的調(diào)查準(zhǔn)確解釋了中國不斷增長的自由貿(mào)易協(xié)定中的利益。余斌指出,雖然更多的智囊團(tuán)和民間社會(huì)行動(dòng)者已經(jīng)成為中國20世紀(jì)80年代以來的外交政策參與者,一部分外交部官員的作用仍然中庸的。他認(rèn)為,中國
12、的官方外交政策決策者往往不信任在國外政治學(xué)術(shù)寫作,但觀察者的舉動(dòng),像桂以上這些研究,是過時(shí)的。雖然專家和決策者之間確實(shí)存在差距,它作為一個(gè)更加務(wù)實(shí)的中國外交正在縮小發(fā)展政策和更官僚的決策過程。邦尼格拉澤和菲利普·桑德斯認(rèn)為,“更多元化和競爭的政策環(huán)境是智囊團(tuán)更大的影響力的分析師?!按骶S·蘭普頓還指出,外交政策問題的復(fù)雜性,導(dǎo)致中國外交政策的決策專業(yè)化,這給了中國分析家的機(jī)會(huì)提出建議。蘭普頓強(qiáng)調(diào)說:“在經(jīng)濟(jì)領(lǐng)域需要專門
13、的研究已成為日益突出的現(xiàn)象,“有的研究是“越來越依賴于內(nèi)部和外部的研究?!痹谶^去的幾年中,中國的分析家們廣泛接受(雖然有爭議)的概念,是雙邊自由貿(mào)易協(xié)定將有助于中國與這些交易問題和自由貿(mào)易協(xié)定是對多邊貿(mào)易協(xié)定的補(bǔ)充。“他們承認(rèn),加入WTO,加快中國經(jīng)濟(jì)市場化,但中國必須進(jìn)一步擴(kuò)大和深化在區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)一體化的區(qū)域和雙邊的貿(mào)易手段的自由化,中國的領(lǐng)</p><p> 附件2:外文資料原文</p><
14、p> China’s Free Trade Negotiations: Economics, Security,</p><p> and Diplomacy</p><p> Since the late 1980s and the advent of reforms led by Deng Xiaoping, China has pursued an increasingl
15、y export-oriented trade policy. This trend has been accompanied by selective domestic agricultural and industrial restructuring, privatization and internationalization.. But while China has long been a vigorous global tr
16、ader and has entered into numerous trade and economic agreements with partners around the world, Beijing’s leaders are relative newcomers to free trade agreements (FTAs). This is </p><p> Since then, China
17、has become more vigorous in its pursuit of free trade agreements. By the mid-2000s it was talking with 27 countries and regions regarding the establishment of nine FTAs or Closer Economic Partnership Agreement (CEPA),cov
18、ering over one-fifth of China’s total trade.4 China has now signed FTAs with the ten-member ASEAN group, Chile, Pakistan and New Zealand. It is in FTA negotiations with the six-member GCC and with the five-member South A
19、frican Customs Union, and with Australia a</p><p> This chapter traces these recent developments and describes selected FTA talks</p><p> China is currently engaged in or has recently conclude
20、d. Further, it reviews the Chinese literature about Chinese leaders’ interest in and strategy regarding FTAs. Finally, it employs a set of hypotheses put forward by Mireya Solís and Saori Katadain the framework chap
21、ter of this book to analyze China’s motives for engaging in FTAs in general, and cross-regional FTAs in particular. The purpose of our chapteris thus threefold: first to summarize China’s FTA initiative, second to assess
22、 China’s mo</p><p> A Late Arrival to FTAs</p><p> China’s relatively late arrival in the vibrant FTA negotiating arena may be explained by two possibilities. As suggested by Elaine S. Kwei, t
23、he first possibility is that China’s leaders saw China’s interests served best by participation in global and regional trade frameworks rather than bilateral arrangements.5 China’s assiduous pursuit of World Trade Organi
24、zation (WTO) membership and its strong leadership role in the APEC forum give support to this hypothesis. Thus Premier Zhu Rongji’s agreeme</p><p> Furthermore, China’s negotiators developed a realistic und
25、erstanding of their limited influence in multilateral talks. This is the case not only in the WTO but also in APEC and the Asia Europe Meeting (ASEM), fora which encompassed some of the world’s largest economies such as
26、the United States, Japan and the EU. But APEC was not making much progress,9 and ASEM, as an informal dialogue forum, seemed even less effective in facilitating trade talks. With its trade growing more than 40 times from
27、 U</p><p> On the other hand, in the early part of the decade, China moved cautiously in developing the FTA with ASEAN and in the interim did not undertake bilateral FTAs, not least because Beijing’s policy
28、 makers were preoccupied with adjusting China’s economy to the consequences of accession to the WTO in November 2001. Indeed, a commentator on China’s FTA talks complained that although China’s enterprises and government
29、 departments had made significant adjustments to comply with requirement for China’s </p><p> Kwei’s second hypothesis posits that China until recently did not need bilateral FTAs to achieve its trade aims.
30、 This was because its negotiators could use the attractiveness of the country’s vast market to secure favorable trade deals without having to commit to formal FTAs. However, many of China’s trade partners had begun erect
31、ing subtle new barriers or engaging in preferential trade agreements that excluded China. As China’s trade scope and volume increased, China faced more tariff discrimin</p><p> China’s Interest in FTAs</
32、p><p> A survey of scholarly literature on China’s policy making yields more nuanced and accurate explanations of China’s growing interest in FTAs. Bin Yu noted that although more think-tank and civil society
33、actors had become involved in China’s foreign policy making since the 1980s, the role of the officials of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs remained central. He suggested that China’s official foreign policy makers tended
34、to distrust scholarly writing on foreign policy.12 However, that observation, </p><p> In the past few years, Chinese analysts have come to accept the widespread (although contested) notion that bilateral F
35、TAs will help China deal with these issues and that FTAs are complementary to multilateral trade agreements, or “building blocks.”16 They acknowledge that joining the WTO has accelerated marketization of the Chinese econ
36、omy, but that China must further widen and deepen its participation in regional economic integration by means of regional and bilateral trade liberalization agre</p><p> Furthermore, Chinese analysts became
37、 concerned about China’s exclusion from preferential arrangements. They noted that by the end of 2004, 307 regional trade agreements (RTAs) had been or were being negotiated, and that most of them were FTAs. More importa
38、ntly, over 80% of these FTAs were negotiated in the past decade. In 2004 alone, 16 FTAs were concluded…but none with China.19 Chinese analysts also noted that, although the number of FTAs in East Asia remained small, the
39、 Asia-Pacific as a whole</p><p> Besides this defensive motive – to avoid discrimination – two other economic reasons were put forward in favor of FTAs. First, FTAs might help alleviate China’s energy probl
40、em and enhance energy security, a key strategic goal.22 Closer economic relations with oil producers would help ensure more secure and diverse sources of energy. Second, FTAs might enhance the efficiency and productivity
41、 of China’s somewhat old-fashioned command enterprises, partly because of the scale effect and partly becau</p><p> Against this background, it is no surprise that China began three bilateral FTA negotiatio
42、ns in 2004, first with New Zealand and then with Australia and Chile. It is significant that all of these were cross-regional FTAs (or CRTAs). China’s trade leaders made no secret of their intention to use the impending
43、CRTA with Chile as a “bridge” to talks with the Mercosur (the Common Market of the South, which included Brazil, Argentina, Paraguay and Uruguay) and other Latin American countries. In Beiji</p><p> China h
44、as also endorsed the ASEAN Plus Three vision of an East Asian Community that might lead to a regional free trade arrangement. It has also broached the idea of a Northeast Asia trilateral FTA with South Korea and Japan an
45、d has engaged in trade talks with India, Pakistan and the GCC, each of which has the potential to lead to further CRTAs. While it is true that many of these talks may progress no further than trade and investment framewo
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