湖北省能源消費及碳排放的綜合研究.pdf

1、華中科技大學碩士學位論文湖北省能源消費及碳排放的綜合研究姓名：何海申請學位級別：碩士專業(yè)：熱能工程指導教師：李愛軍20110110華中科技大學碩士學位論文IIAbstractAlongwiththeglobalwarmingissuegettingmemeseriousChinafacesagreaterpressureonenergyconsumptionenvironmentalproblems.Asoneoftheoldestin

2、dustrialbasisofChinaHubeiisalsoanimptanteconomicallydevelopedprovinceincentralChina.AfterafewyearsofextensivetypeofindustrialdevelopmentindustrydevelopmentofHubeiprovincenowgetstothebottleneck:firsttotalavailableresource

3、spercapitaresourcesarebothatacriticallevelsecondenvironmentalpollutionkeepaggregatingthirdfacingtremendousenvironmentalloadingpressure.SoitisemergencytoresearchtheenergyconsumptionCO2emissionissuesofHubeiprovince.Therese

4、archframewkofthispapercanbesummarizedas:FirstofallIndertoallocatethegeneralsituationofHubeiprovincenineareas(provincecity)areunderconsideration:BeijingHebeiShanghaiJiangsuZhejiangShongHenanHubeiGuangdong.TheirCO2emission

5、perunitofGDPCO2emissionperunitofenergyconsumptionCO2emissionfrom1990to2007areestimatedThen15yearsduring19902005areseparatedintothreeperiodsdecompositionanalysisisusedtofindoutwhichfactsarethemostimptantonestochangetheper

6、capitalCO2emissionofthenineareasAfterthatindustrialenergyconsumptionofHubeiprovinceiscutapartintoseveralsectionsfourenergytypesLMDIdecompositionanalysisisusedtoconsiderwhichfactsaretheprimarycausestoeverysections’emissio

7、nchangeduring19992007AtlastCO2emissionpredictionofHubeiprovincein202020352050aredonebasedoninputoutputanalysisscenarioapproach.Conclusionshowsthat:generalCO2emissionsituationofHubeiprovinceisonmediumlevelcontrastedwithot

8、hereightareasamajityofCO2emissionisfromsecondindustry:energysupplysectionpetrochemicalindustrysectiontextileotherlightindustriessectionmetallurgicalindustrysectionarethebiggestemissionsectionsthemostmainfactsareindustria

9、lscaleeffectenergyintensityeffectindustrialstructureeffect.AccdingtothepredictingoutcomesinHubeiprovincetheenergysavingscenariothelowcarbonscenariocanbothloweringtheprimaryenergyconsumptionCO2emissionintheyearof202020352