博士論文答辯-ippc

1、Risk Assessment in China assisted by GIS,Xu YanInstitute of Animal and Plant Quarantine, Chinese Academy of Inspection and Quarantine, AQSIQ, ChinaXu RumeiCollege of Biological Science, Beijing Normal University, Ch

2、inaOctober 24-28, 2005, Niagara Falls, Canada,Outlines,IntroductionMethods and Data PreparationResults and AnalysisApplications and Future,This study is supported by:,State Key Basic Research and Development Plan (9

3、73 project) : The ecological impact of biologicalinvasion and eco-safety, 2000-2005, (G2000046803)AQSIQ Scientific and Research Project: Study on phytosanitary policy making assisted by geographic information system

4、,Importance of using GIS,China has a large area and several climatic zones, GIS can play an important role in suitability analysis and endangered areasMost demandingApplied widelyProvide scientific support for nationa

5、l policy making,2 Methods and Data Preparation,SoftwareAttribute DatabasesGIS Map DatabasesData transfer between CLIMEX and GIS,Software,CLIMEX for Windows Version 1.1bGIS ArcInfo Version 8.0.1 ArcView GIS 3.2 with

6、 Spatial Analysis MapInfo Professional Version 6.0DatabaseMicrosoft Access 2000 Microsoft Excel 2000,Attribute Database,Pest DataIntercepted DataClimatic dataCrop DataCustom Data,Climatic data,1980-1998 daily cli

7、matic data4247570 records 1950-1980 yearly average dataCRU 0.5 X 0.5 grid data (http://ipcc-ddc.cru.uea.ac.uk/),,3 Results and Analysis,Medfly (Ceratitis capitata)Pine wood nematodeBemisia tabaci Biotype BBactro

8、cera tryoniPopillia japonicaEpiphyas postvittanaLissorhoptrus oryzophilusThrips palmiBactrocera dorsalis,Medfly (Ceratitis capitata),4 Models of Greenhouse effect in CLIMEX: 05,1,2,01 with increasingly greenhouse ef

9、fect，the percentage of the suitable area for Medfly to total area of China are 26.8%、28.9％、30.4％、33.7％、38.1％. Its north limits of suitable area will go further north with the development of greenhouse.,4 Models of Greenh

10、ouse effect in CLIMEX,,,,,,Using GIS to analyzing the suitability of PWN,Mamiya think that yearly average temperature (YAT) is an important indexes for the suitability of PWN YAT 14℃，outbreak,,,,,,,,,,,,,4 Applic

11、ation and Future,Applications3S (GIS, GPS and RS) Lab setup in 2004 in the Institute of Animal and Plant Quarantine,The End,Dr. Xu YanInstitute of Animal and Plant QuarantineChinese Academy of Inspection and Quarantin