電力市場(chǎng)的博弈論研究及決策支持系統(tǒng)的實(shí)現(xiàn).pdf

1、華中科技大學(xué)博士學(xué)位論文電力市場(chǎng)的博弈論研究及決策支持系統(tǒng)的實(shí)現(xiàn)姓名：廖家平申請(qǐng)學(xué)位級(jí)別：博士專業(yè)：系統(tǒng)分析與集成指導(dǎo)教師：張勇傳20060501VIAbstractWiththecurrentofpowerindustryfrommonopolytocompetitionelectricitymarkethasbeenestablishedinourcountrystepbystep.Intheelectricitymarketenv

2、ironmentgenerationcompaniesastheprovidersofpowermustbidbasedontheregulationofelectricitymarket.Profitsofgenerationcompaniesdependtoalargeextentonbiddingstrategies.Hencehowtodevelopoptimalbiddingstrategieshasbecomeamajcon

3、cernofgenerationcompanies.Thisdissertationfocusesonthestudyofbiddingstrategiesofgenerationcompaniesintheelectricitymarketenvironmentsomesignificantresultsareobtained.Thispaperfirstlydiscussestheissueofbiddingstrategybase

4、donmarginalpricefecastingitsdifficultyliesinpredictionofsystemmarginalprice.HereadoptsBPneuralwktopredictSMPhisticaldataareusedftrainingfecastingresultsshowsthattheproposedmethodiseffective.Meanwhileitprovidesthebiddingm

5、odelmethodbasedonSMPwksoutthestrategyoptimizationundersomeconditions.SupposingthecostinfmationofgenerationcompaniesisincompletetheCournotmodelisintroducedstaticgametheyofincompleteinfmationisusedtostudythebiddingstrategy

6、ofgenerationcompanieswiththeincompleteinfmationbeingasymmetricsymmetric.Wedesignanassistantdecisionmakingsystemfgenerationbiddingbasedontheeticalresearch.Thissystemmainlyincludesthemodulessuchasinquiringofgeneratparamete

7、rinquiringofhisticaltradecostanalysisbiddingstrategyetc.thesystemismadetohelpthedecisionmakersofgenerationcompanytomakereasonableefficientbiddingdecisionintheelectricitymarket.Keywds:powermarketgametheyresearshbiddingstr